Policy Model for Sustainable Urban Transport

Purpose and goal

The project´s objective was to develop and test a planning tool to contribute to more effective decision-making and to develop cost-effective combinations of policies. The aim was also to apply the model in the primarily Uppsala, Malmö, Kristiansand and Stavanger. The project was intended to be carried out in five parts: a literature review, estimations of costs for traffic growth, development of the demand model, estimates of demand and cost effects of policies and a discussion of the welfare effects of the instruments.

Expected results and effects

The model can now, with limited resources, be applied to Swedish cities. For Sweden´s four largest cities, five different instruments and variants analyzed. Densification has the potential to shift demand from car to sustainable modes. It appears that a combination of parking fees and trunk buses are reduce demand for car use and increase demand for all sustainable modes at lower public expenditures. Reduced public transport tariffs and increased frequency, to varying degrees, lead to reduced car use and large cost increases.

Planned approach and implementation

The project was intended to be carried out in five parts: A literature review, Estimations for traffic growth, adjustment of demand model, estimates of demand and cost effects of policies and Discussion of the economic effects of the instruments. The project has been developed primarily demand and cost modules. The financial model has not been time with. Instead, demand and costs is analyzed for more cities.