COMTE - Concept of Operation and tactical Modelling for Tradespace Exploration

Purpose and goal

The project has developed methods and models to support exploration of the problem space and the design space for system-of-systems (SoS) solutions. The Swedish Air Force as an SoS has been analyzed. The project has then developed a framework for creating Scenarios as a description of the problem space, i.e. stakeholders´ needs. The framework provides support for how to build and express Scenarios as stakeholder needs. The scenarios can then be modeled and simulated so that the sensitivity of solutions to uncertainties or changes in the problem space can be analyzed.

Expected results and effects

The Swedish Air Force from a system-by-system perspective was analyzed, which resulted in a research paper. A framework for Scenarios as a description of the problem space for defense system development has been developed. One paper will be published where the framework is defined and described, and one paper will be published where a defense system´s sensitivities to scenario variations are analyzed. The scenario framework is already used internally at Saab and in an EU project, and will be included in a licentiate thesis. The project has also resulted in new research applications.

Planned approach and implementation

The original project plan has largely been followed. A greater focus on scenarios as a description of the problem space has been made than initially planned. The benefit of this is a better foundation to stand on when developing methods and tools for CONOPS exploration. The COVID pandemic affected the project by reducing live interactions. This was in part compensated with digital workshops, but with reduced chance for feedback. Covid had also an impact on opportunities to read appropriate doctoral courses, which is a contributing factor to a later licentiate thesis than first planned.