Scenario Model Mobility

Important results from the project

The goal of this project was to decompose, select and interlink situation (future needs), asset (technology) and response (design) properties to create a configurable model for future mobility scenarios. Different scenario techniques and future studies are being investigated to integrate collected inputs into a structure and more repeatable workshop approach, to be able to engage further stakeholders, iterate, share insight and become more easy to use within ECO2 centre´s activities or adapt for new partners or system-of-interest scope.

Expected long term effects

The scenario model, given a set of states for mobility trends, and city traits, suggests a public transport end-customer and operator benefits profile, visualized as a curve or order of importance. Both benefit profile of a specific urban area and the spread of importance of a specific benefit across different urban areas can consequently be used to drive a workshop on key design choices. For example the need of different or “globally” standardized technology, or to better understand what benefit a technology solution may bring to stimulate better utilization of public transport.

Approach and implementation

Inputs were collected on the key trends for rail mobility as well as outcome variables to describe scenarios in terms of customer benefits desirable of a rail mobility system. Design properties were collected by workshops and back office work with Bombardier development and product management. Future states for key mobility trends, urban area traits as well as outcome variables to explore scenarios of a city in the future are summarized on cards. The “deck of cards” supports “configuration” of scenarios in a workshop setting, similar to a morphological field analysis.